Assassination of Pope John Paul II

Assassination of Pope John Paul II

The date of May 13, 1981, marks a pivotal turning point in the trajectory of the 20th century. It was a moment where the tectonic plates of Cold War geopolitics, transnational terrorism, and religious mysticism collided in St. Peter’s Square. The attempted assassination of Pope John Paul II by Mehmet Ali Ağca was not merely a violent disruption of a papal audience; it led to events that exposed:

• The deep-seated vulnerabilities of the Soviet Bloc,
• The complex intrigue of Western and Eastern intelligence services,
• The internal dynamics of the Catholic Church during a period of profound transition.

Espionage

While the first narrative focused on the survival of the Pontiff and the arrest of a Turkish gunman, the subsequent decades have uncovered a labyrinthine network of causality.

This network stretches from the grey markets of Sofia to the corridors of the KGB in Moscow, and from the radical right-wing cells of Anatolia to the secret archives of the East German Stasi. In this blog, we will discuss a comprehensive, expert-level reconstruction of the event, including the operational mechanics of the attack, the medical miracle of the Pope's survival, and the geopolitical imperatives that likely drove the conspiracy.

Cold War intelligence labyrinth that connected the Kremlin and Eastern Bloc services to the assassination attempt in St. Peter's Square.
Generated by AI

Part I: The Polish Pope and the Soviet Threat (1978–1981)

To understand the mechanics of the assassination, one must first interrogate the motive. In 1981, the world was locked in a precarious nuclear standoff, but the primary threat to Soviet hegemony emerged not from NATO missiles but from a Polish trade union and a Slavic Pope.

The election of Cardinal Karol Wojtyła as Pope John Paul II on October 16, 1978, sent shockwaves through the Kremlin.

As the first non-Italian pope in 455 years and a survivor of both Nazi and Communist totalitarianism in Poland, Wojtyła possessed a moral authority that the Soviet leadership correctly identified as a lethal threat to their control over the Eastern Bloc.

John Paul riding Popemobile, in September 2004
in St. Peter's Square

The Security Apparatus: Orchestrating a "Wet Affair"

In intelligence parlance, an assassination is often termed a “wet affair” (mokroye delo). The prevailing theory, supported by the Mitrokhin Archive and subsequent Italian investigations, posits that the GRU (Soviet Military Intelligence) and the KGB decided to eliminate the Pope but faced a critical constraint: they required a layer of "plausible deniability".

A direct Soviet hit was geopolitically impossible; if the trail led back to Moscow, the consequences would be catastrophic. The blame had to be cast elsewhere.

The "Bulgarian Connection"

This strategic requirement led to the infamous “Bulgarian Connection.” The Bulgarian Committee for State Security (Durzhavna Sigurnost or DS) was known in the intelligence community as the “kidney of the KGB,” often tasked with the Soviet Union’s dirtiest work in the West.

Sofia: The Hub of Traffic and Terror

Sofia served as a critical hub for the trafficking of arms and narcotics. This illicit trade brought Bulgarian intelligence officers into regular contact with the Turkish mafia and right-wing extremists. This nexus provided the perfect pool of proxies: criminals and radicals who could be manipulated, paid, and disavowed, keeping the masters in Moscow hidden in the shadows.

In Sofia, Bulgaria, in early 1981. In the center, a young, Mehmet Ali Ağca
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Part II: Mehmet Ali Ağca

The man selected for the operation, Mehmet Ali Ağca, was a paradox: a self-proclaimed mercenary with a fluctuating ideology, yet embedded in the structures of the Turkish far-right. Born in 1958 in Malatya, Turkey, Ağca drifted into the orbit of street gangs and smugglers.

Ağca’s lethality was proven on February 1, 1979, when he assassinated Abdi İpekçi, the editor of the liberal daily Milliyet.

This murder was not a random act of violence; a targeted political killing designed to destabilize the Turkish state. Although captured, his subsequent escape from a high-security military prison in November 1979 suggested high-level complicity within the Turkish security apparatus.

The Accomplices and the Plan

Ağca did not act alone. He was accompanied by Oral Çelik. This logistical support structure, passports, weapons, money, and secure escape routes, points definitively to state sponsorship rather than the limited resources of a fugitive lone gunman.

Mehmet Ali Ağca exits that apartment
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Part III: The Attack 17:17 PM in St. Peter's Square

The afternoon of Wednesday, May 13, 1981, was warm and bright in Rome. St. Peter's Square was filled with approximately 20,000 pilgrims awaiting the General Audience. Pope John Paul II entered the square in an open-topped white Fiat Campagnola, a vehicle that offered zero ballistic protection. As he moved slowly through the crowd, blessing babies and reaching out to the faithful, the scene presented a "security nightmare."

Mehmet Ali Ağca, dressed in a grey suit and positioning himself near the bronze door, waited with a 9mm Browning Hi-Power semi-automatic pistol concealed in his jacket. The weapon, known for its 13-round capacity and reliability, was a professional's choice.

The Shooting: A Sequence of Chaos

At 17:17 PM, as the Popemobile passed within 10 feet of Ağca, he drew his weapon and fired.

Shot One: The first bullet struck the Pope in the abdomen, passing through the sacrum and exiting the lower back. It perforated the colon and caused massive internal hemorrhaging.

Shot Two: The second bullet struck the Pope’s left hand (specifically the index finger) and then his right arm.

Collateral Damage: Two American women, Ann Odre and Rose Hall, were struck by stray bullets in the chest and arm.

The Plan Collapses

The assassination plan collapsed immediately after the shots were fired.

The Malfunction: Ağca's gun reportedly jammed after the fourth round (some reports say second), preventing a lethal follow-up.

The Betrayal: Simultaneously, the "panic bomb" that Oral Çelik was supposed to detonate failed to materialize. Witnessing the chaos, Çelik fled the scene without firing his weapon.

The Capture: Ağca was physically subdued not by security forces initially, but by the crowd. A nun, Sister Letizia Giudici, grabbed him, preventing his escape until Vatican security chief Camillo Cibin intervened.

Code Blue: The Race Against Death

The Pope collapsed into the arms of his secretary, Msgr. Stanisław Dziwisz. He was conscious but fading rapidly due to hypovolemic shock.

The ambulance race to the Gemelli Polyclinic was chaotic; the vehicle's siren malfunctioned, and the driver had to navigate Rome's rush-hour traffic without a clear path. Upon arrival, the Pope was in critical condition with barely palpable blood pressure.

Dr. Francesco Crucitti led the team that operated for five hours and thirty minutes. During the surgery, they noted a miraculous detail: The bullet had missed the main abdominal aorta by a mere few millimetres. Had it struck the artery, the Pope would have bled to death in the ambulance. 

Time	Event	Details	Source
17:00	Audience Begins	Pope enters St. Peter's Square in open Fiat.	1
17:17	The Attack	Ağca fires shots; Pope wounded in abdomen, arm, hand.	2
17:25	Ambulance	Rush to Gemelli Hospital; Dziwisz administers Last Rites.	3
17:55	Arrival	Pope arrives at Gemelli in shock; prepped for surgery.	3
18:00–23:30	Surgery	Dr. Crucitti performs bowel resection and colostomy.	4
Midnight	Stabilization	Vatican announces the surgery was successful; Pope survives.	1

Part IV: The Long Recovery and the Second Danger

The Pope’s survival on the operating table was only the beginning of a prolonged medical ordeal that tested his physical and spiritual resilience to the absolute limit. Following the initial surgery, the Pope remained in the hospital until June 3. However, his battle was far from over. He was readmitted on June 20 suffering from a high fever, exhaustion, and systemic weakness.

Doctors diagnosed him with a Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection, a severe complication resulting from the massive blood transfusions he received immediately after the shooting.

The infection was debilitating. It delayed the necessary surgery to reverse the colostomy, leaving the Pope in a state he described as "half dead, half alive." By August, despite the lingering effects of the virus, the Pope insisted on the reversal operation. On August 5, 1981, Dr. Crucitti successfully performed the second surgery. The Pope was finally discharged on August 14, having spent a grueling 55 days in the hospital.

The 1982 Fatima Attack: The Hidden Wound

The security threats against John Paul II did not end in 1981. On May 12, 1982, exactly one year after the Ağca assassination attempt, the Pope traveled to Fatima, Portugal, to thank the Virgin Mary for saving his life.

During a procession, Juan María Fernández y Krohn, a traditionalist Spanish priest ordained by Archbishop Marcel Lefebvre, lunged at the Pope with a bayonet.

Krohn managed to reach the Pontiff before being subdued by security, shouting:

"Down with the Pope, down with the Second Vatican Council!"

A Secret Kept for Decades

For decades, the official narrative maintained that the Pope was completely unhurt during this second attack. However, Cardinal Dziwisz revealed in the 2000s that the reality was much darker: Krohn had actually stabbed the Pope.

The bayonet caused a wound that bled profusely. Unwilling to disrupt the sacred ceremony or alarm the faithful, the Pope concealed the injury and continued the liturgy with blood staining his undergarments. This chilling incident underscores not only the intense polarization within the Church at the time but also the persistent, ever-present vulnerability of the Pontiff.

Pope John Paul II is being transported to the ambulance. (Colourized via AI)

Part V: The Investigations

The legal and intelligence inquiries into the assassination attempt evolved through three distinct phases, shifting from a simple narrative of fanaticism to a complex story of Cold War espionage.

Phase I: The "Lone Wolf" Narrative (1981)

Immediately after his arrest, Ağca claimed he acted alone. He presented himself as a detached terrorist with no political allegiance, or conversely, as a member of the PFLP (Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine). This initial confusion was intentional, designed to cloud the waters. In July 1981, he was convicted after a brief trial and sentenced to life imprisonment.

Phase II: The "Bulgarian Connection" (1982–1986)

The narrative shifted dramatically in 1982. Following investigations by Italian magistrates and journalists like Claire Sterling, Ağca began to cooperate. He claimed the assassination was ordered by the Bulgarian Secret Service (DS) acting on Soviet instructions. He identified three Bulgarians in Rome:

1.     Sergei Antonov: Station chief for Balkan Air.

2.     Zilo Vassilev: Military Attaché.

3.     Todor Aivazov: Embassy cashier.

Ağca provided specific details about their habits, homes, and the operational planning meetings. This led to the arrest of Antonov in late 1982. The "Trial of the Century" began in 1985, but it faltered. Ağca proved to be a disastrous witness, oscillating between lucid testimony and claims that he was Jesus Christ. Despite corroborating evidence, the Italian court acquitted the Bulgarians in March 1986 for "insufficient evidence" (insufficienza di prove), a verdict that stopped short of declaring them innocent.

Phase III: The Mitrokhin and Stasi Revelations (Post-Cold War)

The fall of the Berlin Wall opened the archives of the Eastern Bloc, providing the "smoking guns" that the Italian prosecutors lacked in the 1980s.

The Mitrokhin Archive: Files smuggled out by KGB archivist Vasili Mitrokhin revealed the depth of the KGB's hatred for John Paul II. The Mitrokhin Commission, an Italian parliamentary body, concluded in 2006 "beyond any reasonable doubt" that the Soviet military intelligence (GRU) initiated the assassination plot.

The Stasi Files: Declassified files from East Germany detailed a massive disinformation campaign codenamed "Operation Papst" (Operation Pope). Coordinated by Stasi spymaster Markus Wolf, this operation was designed to deflect blame from the Eastern Bloc by planting fake evidence and letters in the Western press, suggesting the Grey Wolves acted alone or were manipulated by Western intelligence.

Table: The Three Phases of the Assassination Investigation

Phase	Timeframe	Dominant Theory	Key Outcome
Phase I	1981–1982	Lone Wolf / Fanatic	Ağca convicted; claims he acted alone.
Phase II	1982–1986	Bulgarian Connection	Antonov arrested; trial ends in acquittal due to insufficient evidence.
Phase III	1990s–2000s	Soviet/Stasi Conspiracy	Mitrokhin and Stasi files confirm Soviet motive and disinformation cover-up.

 Part VI: The Swiss Guard Connection

A lingering subplot to the 1981 attempt is the 1998 murder of Alois Estermann, the newly appointed Commander of the Pontifical Swiss Guard. Estermann was a young officer in 1981 and was present on the Popemobile, famously photographed shielding the Pope during the attack.

On May 4, 1998, Estermann and his wife were shot dead in their Vatican apartment by a young corporal, Cédric Tornay, who then committed suicide. While the Vatican officially attributed the killings to Tornay's "fit of madness" over a denied medal, alternative theories persist.

Investigative journalists and lawyers have alleged that Estermann may have been a Stasi agent codenamed "Werder," recruited to provide intelligence on the Vatican's support for Solidarity. According to this theory, his murder was a "cleaning" operation to prevent him from revealing details about the 1981 assassination plot or the infiltration of the Vatican. While unproven, the presence of a Stasi mole in the Vatican aligns with the known penetration of Western structures by Markus Wolf’s HVA.

Fatima, a depiction of Our Lady of Fátima

Part VII: Fatima and the Third Secret

For Pope John Paul II, the assassination attempt was not merely a political event but a profound theological one. He interpreted his survival through the lens of the Apparitions of Our Lady of Fatima.

The Coincidence of May 13

The shooting occurred on the exact anniversary of the first apparition of the Virgin Mary at Fatima in 1917. While recovering at the Gemelli, the Pope requested the dossier on the "Third Secret of Fatima," a prophetic text that had been kept secret by the Vatican since 1944.

The Release of the Third Secret (2000)

In 2000, the Vatican published the text. It described a "Bishop in white" climbing a steep mountain towards a cross, passing through a ruined city filled with corpses, before being killed by a group of soldiers firing bullets and arrows.

John Paul II believed the vision referred to him, but that the outcome had been altered by prayer "one hand fired the shot, another guided it." In a gesture of profound gratitude, the Pope donated the bullet extracted from his abdomen to the Shrine of Fatima, where it was encased in the crown of the Virgin's statue.

Radical Forgiveness

The spiritual legacy of the assassination is also defined by forgiveness. In December 1983, the Pope visited Ağca in his prison cell. The image of the two men, victim and assassin, seated in intimate conversation stunned the world. The Pope publicly forgave Ağca, petitioning for his pardon, which Italy granted in 2000. This act transformed the narrative from one of vengeance to one of redemption.

In December 1983, the Pope visited Ağca in his prison cell. (Colourized via AI)

Part VIII: Conclusion

The attempted assassination of Pope John Paul II stands as a testament to the fragility of history. Had the bullet shifted a few millimeters, the course of the Cold War would likely have been radically different. A dead Polish Pope in 1981 might have demoralized the Solidarity movement, potentially delaying the collapse of the Soviet Bloc by decades. Instead, the attack galvanized the Pope's resolve.

From a forensic and historical perspective, the weight of evidence points to a state-sponsored operation. The convergence of Ağca’s training, the financial trail to Bulgarian-hosted smugglers, the anxiety of the Soviet Politburo regarding Poland, and the massive Stasi disinformation campaign creates a compelling mosaic of guilt. The Grey Wolves were the instrument, but the hand that wielded them operated from the shadows of the Iron Curtain.

Ultimately, the event transcends its mechanics. It remains a study in the clash between the brute force of totalitarianism and the resilient power of spiritual authority. The bullet intended to silence a "masked leader of the crusades" instead created a living martyr who would outlast the empire that sought his destruction.

Actor	Role	Motivation/Action	Outcome
John Paul II	Target	Spiritual support for Solidarity; threat to Soviet stability.	Survived; accelerated collapse of Communism.
Mehmet Ali Ağca	Assassin	Mercenary/Grey Wolf; sought fame/money.	Imprisoned; pardoned in 2000; deported to Turkey.
KGB/GRU	Suspected Mastermind	Neutralize the "Polish Problem."	Failed operation; exposed by Mitrokhin files.
Bulgarian DS	Logistics/Handler	Provide cover/proxies for Soviet orders.	Investigated; Antonov acquitted but suspicion remains.
Stasi	Cover-up	"Operation Papst" disinformation.	Exposed post-1989; Markus Wolf implicated.
Solidarity	Catalyst	The movement the assassination sought to stop.	Grew stronger; toppled Polish regime in 1989.

Acknowledgement

Special thanks to @bizantenden_masallar for their valuable contributions and insights during the research process of this article.

Bibliography: the Assassination Attempt on Pope John Paul II

1. Encyclopædia Britannica

Subject: General background of the event, Mehmet Ali Ağca's profile, the weapon used (9mm Browning), and allegations of the Bulgarian connection (the Antonov case) during the trial process.

2. BBC News - "On This Day" Archive

Subject: The minute-by-minute timeline of May 13, 1981, reports establishing that the attack occurred exactly at 17:17, and first-hand news accounts of the panic in the square.

3. The New York Times (Historical Archive - May 14, 1981)

Subject: Hospital (Gemelli Polyclinic) reports published immediately after the attack, and injury details of the other two victims alongside the Pope (American tourists Ann Odre and Rose Hall).

4. History.com (A&E Television Networks)

Subject: The Pope's miraculous survival (the surgery process), its connection to the belief in Our Lady of Fátima, and the historic prison meeting on December 27, 1983.

5. Official Vatican Archive (La Santa Sede)

Subject: Official statements by Pope John Paul II regarding his forgiveness of the attacker, and the press statement he gave after the 21-minute private meeting at Rebibbia Prison ("I spoke to him as a brother whom I have pardoned...").

Prophet Abraham by Muazzez İlmiye Çığ: Book Review

Prophet Abraham by Muazzez İlmiye Çığ: Book Review

I have just finished reading my first book of 2026, and I must say, it was a great start to the year. The book is “Prophet Abraham” by the late, expert Sumerologist Muazzez İlmiye Çığ. In this research work, she compiles existing knowledge and legends about Abraham, tracing their origins from ancient Sumerian tablets all the way to the holy books of today.

I had previously read her other seminal work, “The Sumerian Origins of the Quran, the Bible, and the Torah.” Although quite some time has passed since I read that one, I felt a strong pull to begin this new year with the wisdom of “Muazzez Hoca” to refresh my perspective on history.

Reading Çığ’s work is like being a detective in history. It forces you to look at familiar religious narratives through the lens of archaeology. In this blog, I want to share how the cuneiform scripts of the Sumerians might actually be the ancestors of the stories we know about Prophet Abraham today.

However, I must note that the book is not entirely objective. Rather than presenting a neutral historical account, Çığ interprets the archaeological findings through a very specific lens. She is fiercely dedicated to proving the Sumerian influence on monotheism, and at times, this passion overshadows a purely academic neutrality. Readers should approach it as a bold thesis rather than a definitive textbook.

While the book emphasizes Abraham's importance for every religion, the author herself struggles to remain impartial. I was expecting a detailed historical analysis rooted in research. Instead, I found the book heavily saturated with chapters and citations from the Torah (Old Testament) regarding Abraham and other prophets. Surprisingly, the narrative even carries strong "breezes" of Zecharia Sitchin leaning at times towards speculative alternative history rather than strict academic archaeology.

The Theological Disconnect: Monotheism vs. Polytheism

The book’s primary thesis rests on the idea that the holy books (The Torah, The Bible, and The Quran) are essentially derivations of Sumerian tablets. However, this leads to a significant logical contradiction regarding the timeline of faith.

In the Abrahamic tradition, the lineage of prophets starting from Adam and Noah represents a strictly monotheistic message. Historically, the Sumerians appear after these early figures but before the Abrahamic religions (Judaism, Christianity, Islam). Yet, the Sumerian culture was abruptly and vividly polytheistic.

If the holy books were simply "copy-pasted" from Sumerian texts as the author suggests, why do they vehemently reject polytheism?

It feels as though Çığ is attempting to sever the link between the ancient monotheistic tradition (Adam/Noah) and the later Abrahamic faiths by inserting Sumerian writings as the sole origin. To me, finding a similar story in a Sumerian tablet does not prove that a holy book is a fabrication. It simply shows that narratives, like people, travel across geographies and generations.

Conclusion

To sum up, "Prophet Abraham" by Muazzez İlmiye Çığ is a book that provokes thought, but it failed to alter my fundamental convictions.

While I respect the author’s vast knowledge of Sumerian cuneiform, her conclusion that the holy books are essentially Sumerian folklore felt like a forced theory rather than a natural historical progression.

The book attempts to bridge the gap between mythology and theology, but for me, the bridge collapsed under the weight of its own ideological bias. It did not convince me that monotheism is merely a rebranded polytheism. Read it to understand the richness of Sumerian culture, but take its theological claims with a grain of salt.

Paris Peace Conference (January 18, 1919)

The World at the Dawn of the 20th Century

The Paris Peace Conference: Peace or Imposition?

The Paris Peace Conference (January 18, 1919) gathered to determine the future of the defeated countries after World War I. The official goal was to ensure "permanent peace." However, was it really peace?

In reality, the winners dictated their terms to the losers. 32 countries attended the conference, but the decisions were made by the USA, Britain, France, and Italy. The defeated countries, like Germany and the Ottoman Empire, were not even invited to the table. They only waited to sign the heavy treaties prepared for them.

Paris Peace Conference 18 January 1919
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The New Name of Colonialism: The Mandate System

As a Turkish person, looking at this page of history is painful because the Ottoman Empire was being dismantled. The Allied Powers wanted to bypass President Wilson’s principle that said, "Colonialism is forbidden." So, they invented a new system called the "Mandate System."

The Result: They claimed that nations in the Middle East could not govern themselves. Therefore, Ottoman territories like Iraq, Syria, Palestine, and the Arabian Peninsula were placed under the "protection" (control) of Britain and France.

Eastern Anatolia: The idea of establishing an Armenian State in Eastern Anatolia was also officially decided here for the first time.

Discussing Middle East and İzmir.
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The Biggest Betrayal at the Table: İzmir

One of the most critical decisions of the conference was about İzmir. Before the war, İzmir was promised to Italy through secret agreements. However, Britain (Lloyd George) changed the plan at the last minute.

Britain did not want a strong Italy in the Mediterranean. Instead, they preferred a weaker Greece that they could control easily. Consequently, İzmir was given to Greece.

This historical decision created a foundation for the tensions we see today. The militarization of the Aegean islands and the political conflicts between Greece and Türkiye are the long-term results of this decision made in Paris.

Tension between Italy and UK to colonize İzmir.
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The US Withdrawal and the Monroe Doctrine

While the European powers were sharing the Ottoman lands (especially oil regions and the Straits), the USA felt disappointed. President Wilson saw that his principles for a "fair world" were ignored by the European leaders.

As a result, the USA suspended its relations with Europe. They returned to the Monroe Doctrine (Policy of Isolation) and withdrew from European politics. The stage was left to Britain and France until World War II.

Historical Note: Peace Treaties After WWI

Country	Treaty Name	Date
Germany	Treaty of Versailles	June 28, 1919
Austria	Treaty of Saint-Germain	September 10, 1919
Bulgaria	Treaty of Neuilly	November 27, 1919
Hungary	Treaty of Trianon	June 4, 1920
Ottoman Empire	Treaty of Sèvres	August 10, 1920

(Note: The Treaty of Sèvres was never fully implemented thanks to the Turkish War of Independence.)

USA leaves the Conference. 

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In this series, my goal is to give you a clear idea about historical turning points in 500-750 words. In the next blog, we will turn our route to the north. We will discuss the rise of a new power: The Establishment of the Soviet Union and the Bolshevik Revolution.

Don't Forget the Poor: Pope Francis Part III (Last)

After the first day, the cardinal electors returned to Santa Marta on a rainy afternoon. The first ballot showed the division among the Italian blocs and that Scola had not received the expected support. This was a strong sign that a candidate from Latin America might come forward. Bergoglio’s name was now being taken seriously, and the number of his supporters was skyrocketing. His pastoral and simple lifestyle drew attention. That first evening had already begun to shape the future papal candidate within the dramatic balance of the conclave.

By the first night of the conclave, three strong factors in Bergoglio’s favour had become clear: the full support of the Latin American cardinals, his short but inspiring speech, and the backing of several cardinals from Asia, Africa, and parts of Europe. In addition, experienced cardinals who had known him from the 2005 conclave were also behind him. For the undecided electors, that night was the time to make up their minds for the vote the next morning. Bergoglio’s future would be decided the following day.

Before the conclave, the media was speculating about cracks in Scola’s Italian support and about the situation of other leading candidates. Bergoglio, meanwhile, was now on the radar of many cardinals. It was true that his age caused some concern, but his experience and vision outweighed those doubts.

From an African perspective, the new pope had to care not only for Catholics but for the concerns of the entire world. Bergoglio’s pastoral approach and openness to dialogue made him a fitting candidate for this global responsibility. The conclave was not just about choosing a pope; it was a decision that would shape the Church’s role across the whole world.In the morning, the cardinals arrived at the Sistine Chapel and began the second ballot. The second and third votes saw Bergoglio quickly rise to the forefront; while Scola’s support stalled, Ouellet began to fall behind. The cardinals listened to the ballots in silence, each name echoing like a turning point in history. Once again, black smoke rose into the air, thousands outside were still waiting for the new pope. The dynamics of the conclave were now clear: for the first time, history was pointing toward a pope from the New World. Even though Scola continued to resist, Bergoglio’s rise seemed unstoppable.

During lunch at Santa Marta, tension and anticipation were at their peak. The crowd outside had a growing sense that Bergoglio would be chosen, and the cardinals inside were aware of this shift as well. Bergoglio himself did not yet fully believe he would be elected, but there were signs preparing him for the possibility: the Cuban cardinal Ortega y Alamino had asked for his speech text and, when announcing it, said, “Now I have the text of the new pope.” The Chilean cardinal Ossa warned him, “Be ready for what you will say!” while Maradiaga invited him to lunch. All these hints showed that Bergoglio was moving toward a historic election in the coming hours.

During lunch, the last rumours attempting to block his path spread: some were claiming he had only one lung to weaken his chances. However, his supporters, especially Cardinal Maradiaga, turned to Bergoglio to verify his health condition and learned the truth. These clarifications brought great relief to Bergoglio and those around him. At that moment, through the signs and the reactions of the cardinals near him, Bergoglio began to feel that he would indeed be elected. In his own words, he felt “a deep peace and calm, even though it was a complete surprise.” That peace carried over into his short rest after lunch, reflecting his calm, determined, and faith-filled character. Meanwhile, other cardinals were also making their preparations for the election: For example, Cardinal Tong had brought a special gift to present to the new pope.

Pope Francis enters the Domus Sanctae Marthae

In the morning, the cardinals arrived at the Sistine Chapel and began the second ballot. The second and third votes saw Bergoglio quickly rise to the forefront; while Scola’s support stalled, Ouellet began to fall behind. The cardinals listened to the ballots in silence, each name echoing like a turning point in history. Once again, black smoke rose into the air; thousands outside were still waiting for the new pope. The dynamics of the conclave were now clear: for the first time, history was pointing toward a pope from the New World. Even though Scola continued to resist, Bergoglio’s rise seemed unstoppable.

During lunch at Santa Marta, tension and anticipation were at their peak. The crowd outside had a growing sense that Bergoglio would be chosen, and the cardinals inside were aware of this shift as well. Bergoglio himself did not yet fully believe he would be elected, but there were signs preparing him for the possibility: the Cuban cardinal Ortega y Alamino had asked for his speech text and, when announcing it, said, “Now I have the text of the new pope.” The Chilean cardinal Ossa warned him, “Be ready for what you will say!” while Maradiaga invited him to lunch. All these hints showed that Bergoglio was moving toward a historic election in the coming hours.

During lunch, the last rumours attempting to block his path spread: some claimed he had only one lung, which would weaken his chances. However, his supporters, especially Cardinal Maradiaga, turned to Bergoglio to verify his health condition and learned the truth. These clarifications brought great relief to Bergoglio and those around him. At that moment, through the signs and the reactions of the cardinals near him, Bergoglio began to feel that he would indeed be elected. In his own words, he felt “a deep peace and calm, even though it was a complete surprise.” That peace carried over into his short rest after lunch, reflecting his calm, determined, and faith-filled character. Meanwhile, other cardinals were also making their preparations for the election: For example, Cardinal Tong had brought a special gift to present to the new pope.

Apostolic Palace
A view of the palace from Saint Peter's Square

When the cardinals entered the fourth ballot, Bergoglio was in the lead with 67 votes, followed by Scola with 32 and Ouellet with 13. As a surprise name, Agostino Vallini received two votes, but this last-minute move could not stop Bergoglio’s advance.

In the fifth ballot, one cardinal accidentally glued two ballots together, making the total 116 instead of 115, and the result was declared invalid. However, everything returned to normal in the sixth ballot, and Bergoglio surpassed the required 77 votes, winning with 85. The excitement reflected in the Cardinals’ faces, their silence, and their prayers revealed the sacredness of this historic moment.

Elected as the first Latin American and the first Jesuit pope, Bergoglio embraced Scola right after the vote; history had been made. The joy inside and the cheers outside merged; people from all over the world were eager to greet their new pope.

When asked about his election, Bergoglio said in Latin: “I am a great sinner, trusting in the mercy of God, I accept in suffering.” 

Then he announced his papal name: Francesco. This name, honouring Saint Francis of Assisi, symbolized the ideals of poverty, peace, and care for creation.

The rituals continued: the master of ceremonies prepared the documents, and Bergoglio removed his cardinal robes and changed into the white cassock. Yet he did not follow every tradition; he refused the golden cross and red shoes, chose not to wear the mozzetta, and kept his own black shoes instead. Cardinals Sandri and Gracias watched his calm and steady steps; Francis, dressed in white, walked into the room and into history.

This moment was more than just an election; through his choice and his name, the new pope sent a message to the world: the Church would stand with the poor and defend peace and justice.

At 8:12 p.m., Cardinal Tauran gave the joyful news to the world in Latin: “Annuntio vobis gaudium magnum, habemus papam!” (I announce to you a great joy, we have a pope!)

Jorge Mario Bergoglio/Pope Francis.

The square and millions watching around the world erupted in emotion: applause, tears, and a social media storm under the hashtag #HabemusPapam.

While people in Argentina overflowed with joy, the Italian media was stunned everyone had expected Scola, yet Francis was the surprise.
With his very first words, “Fratelli e sorelle, buona sera!” (Brothers and sisters, good evening!), he instantly won hearts. He introduced himself simply as “the bishop,” not with grand titles, and unlike his predecessors, he invited the people to pray with him. When giving the blessing, he remained humble, asking the crowd to pray for him first.

He soon called Benedict XVI to speak with him by phone; then, as he returned to Santa Marta, he declined the limousine and instead took the bus with the other cardinals. He thanked them all and, with his usual touch of humour, said, “May God forgive you.”

Up to this point, we have seen the story as an overview. Now, we will read to this journey again through the late pope’s own words, from his book.

Then, on the day of my election, March 13, after spending the morning in the Sistine Chapel for the votes, I received three very clear signals.I should explain that we were all sleeping at the Domus Sanctae Marthae, St. Martha’s House, during the days of the conclave, in order to avoid any contact with the outside world. We all went back there for lunch, and before the meal I went up to the fifth floor, to the room of Cardinal Jaime Ortega y Alamino, archbishop of Havana, who had asked me for a copy of the speech I made during the general congregation. I took him the transcript, apologizing because it was handwritten and telling him I didn’t have any photocopies. And he said to me, “Ah, how wonderful. I’m taking home a souvenir of the new pope.” And this was the first signal, but I didn’t understand that yet. I took the elevator down to my own floor, the second, but at the fourth it stopped and Cardinal Francisco Errázuriz, archbishop emeritus of Santiago, came in. I had known him since my Aparecida days.

“Have you prepared your speech?” he asked.

“What speech?” I replied, intrigued.

“Today’s—the one you’ll have to make when you appear on the central loggia of the basilica,” was his answer.And that was the second signal, but I didn’t understand this time either.
I went down to lunch and entered the room with Cardinal Leonardo Sandri. A few European cardinals who were already in the room said to me, “Come, Your Eminence, come over here and tell us about Latin America.” I thought nothing of it and accepted their invitation, but they gave me a thorough grilling. At the end of the meal, as I was leaving, Cardinal Santos Abril y Castelló, whom I had known well when he was the papal nuncio in Argentina, came up to me.

He asked, “Forgive the question, Your Eminence, but is it true that you are missing a lung?”

“No, it’s not true,” I replied. “Only the upper lobe of my right lung is missing.”

“When did this happen?” he continued.

“In 1957, when I was twenty-one,”

I told him. He looked serious and remarked, in a somewhat irritated tone, “These last-minute moves!” And that was the precise moment I realized the cardinals were thinking about me as a successor to Pope Benedict XVI. That afternoon we went back into conclave. I found the Italian cardinal Gianfranco Ravasi in front of the Sistine Chapel, and we stopped to talk because during my studies I had always used his editions of the sapiential, or poetic, books of the Bible, particularly the book of Job.

I was nearly elected on the first ballot, and at that stage the Brazilian cardinal Cláudio Hummes approached me and said, “Don’t be afraid! This is how the Holy Spirit works.” And then, on the third ballot of the afternoon, when the seventy-seventh vote was counted and my name had received two-thirds of the electors’ votes, everyone applauded for a long time. While the ballot papers were being scrutinized, Hummes came over to me again, kissed me, and said the words that have stayed in my heart and mind ever since: “Don’t forget the poor.”

PART 1: In Bergoglio’s Shadow: The Conclave After Ratzinger

PART 2: Bergoglio's Rising: Conclave is starting (2013) Part II

Reference

• O’Connell, Gerard. The Election of Pope Francis: An Inside Account of the Conclave That Changed History. Maryknoll, NY: Orbis Books, 2019
• Pope Francis. Life: My Story Through History―An Autobiography of the Life and Legacy of Pope Francis. Thomas Nelson, 2022.